Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 6.999973 7.747742 8.580583 9.584656 10.772810 12.147384 13.877928
2025-01-12 5.643167 6.578379 7.706705 9.195912 11.153841 13.708229 17.417333
2025-01-19 4.906509 5.906564 7.175930 8.955294 11.474210 15.069560 20.929554
2025-01-26 4.468724 5.516502 6.901169 8.940673 12.016489 16.776886 25.450174
2025-02-02 4.342341 5.502200 7.101524 9.587521 13.615041 20.479720 34.912917
2025-02-09 4.164650 5.388217 7.134507 9.973805 14.868847 23.983367 46.088554
2025-02-16 3.925346 5.157645 6.962367 9.999705 15.500765 26.524144 56.922798
2025-02-23 3.782320 5.050104 6.957767 10.289393 16.661234 30.561180 75.617049
2025-03-02 3.517873 4.737923 6.601043 9.922305 16.473933 31.501067 85.502378
2025-03-09 3.311299 4.498069 6.337123 9.683814 16.498118 32.976629 99.472233
2025-03-16 3.153282 4.321478 6.159523 9.577755 16.778194 35.240128 120.774985
2025-03-23 3.066182 4.248820 6.145574 9.772084 17.757676 39.927056 166.305880
2025-03-30 2.870930 4.005197 5.845903 9.426475 17.536323 41.263677 198.720528
2025-04-06 2.685155 3.768567 5.545312 9.055629 17.214243 42.294877 236.956264
2025-04-13 2.539602 3.587651 5.326266 8.820756 17.181224 44.395959 302.605919
2025-04-20 2.441366 3.477576 5.221923 8.806475 17.715277 49.074018 458.170121
2025-04-27 2.441697 3.530115 5.411530 9.438772 20.199122 64.604996 1501.019167
2025-05-04 2.405190 3.517146 5.479030 9.816139 22.113561 80.621938 9176.922943
2025-05-11 2.328413 3.429552 5.397942 9.841435 22.950031 92.005171 789628.560015
2025-05-18 2.286300 3.399534 5.424171 10.124321 24.766176 114.415023 NaN
2025-05-25 2.178139 3.246791 5.199238 9.765838 24.204571 116.528264 NaN
2025-06-01 2.090488 3.126686 5.031619 9.532857 24.059684 122.855570 NaN
2025-06-08 2.021950 3.037631 4.920172 9.429229 24.388139 135.319856 NaN